What’s the trouble with oil? (5/5)

In this final post on crude oil I’ll discuss why there’s so much controversy over oil. In short, using fossil fuels like crude has negative effects on the environment, economy, and therefore everyone.

The organic material that is found in crude oil sometimes contain sulfur atoms which if combusted turns into SO2 and then into H2SO4, which causes acid rain. Acid rain kills everything from fish to forests. In an attempt to reduce emissions and the effects of acid rain, sulfur emissions have some of the tightest governmental regulations in the refining industry.

Low Sulfur Diesel (LSD) is diesel with a sulfur concentration below 500 parts per million (ppm) – the old standard. Ultra Low Sulfur Diesel (ULSD), the required diesel for new trucks starting in 2007, must have sulfur concentrations below 15 ppm. In a few more years, all highway vehicles will use ULSD by law. Below are the stickers you may have seen on diesel gas pumps. Sulfur and other organics are regulated in most fuel products, including gasoline.

Image from: www.factsonfuel.org

Image from: www.factsonfuel.org

While regulating acid rain causing components in fuels is a step in the right direction, it’s definitely not enough. The real problem with oil as an energy source isn’t the sulfur, it’s the carbon. When the hydrocarbons in gasoline and other petroleum products are burned for energy, the carbon backbones break apart and form the greenhouse gas CO2.

Greenhouse gases make up just a tiny fraction of the atmosphere. But that tiny fraction is an important part because it forms an invisible blanket around the earth. These gases in the atmosphere allow sunlight into the atmosphere but block the light from reflecting back off the earth into space. They keep heat in. As we burn hydrocarbons to get energy and other products we release more of these gases – warming the earth.

The greenhouse effect is a good thing since it keeps the earth warm enough for us to live on. But there is a delicate balance between warm enough and too warm. Climate change and global warming have been directly linked to the increased CO2 levels in the over the last 100 years (IPCC).

Another huge problem with fossil fuels is that they take millions of years to form. We are most definitely depleting this valuable resource faster than it’s being replenished. Basically, we will run low on oil eventually. It’s just a matter of when. Some think it might be soon. I think I agree.

I’m not saying we have to shut down every oil well on the planet. In fact, I think we’ll probably always need petroleum for some reason or another – just like we’ll probably always need trees as a bsaic building material. What I am saying is that we should use a reasonable amount of it. We should grow back a tree for every one that we cut down – so that we don’t run out. We should use a reasonable amount of oil – so that we don’t run out.

As countries like India and China (combined population: 2.5 Billion) grow, demand for oil will grow. We will deplete resources faster.

So what can you do? Think about the oil it took to make and transport that thing to your local super mart. Think about the gas you burn and pollution you release every time you start your car. Ask yourself whether you could walk/bike/bus instead of driving or hold off without that new trinket. Ask yourself whether the energy your about to use is worth the benefit you’ll receive. The answer can be yes, but it’s no sometimes too. Also, take a minute to think about what happens when you throw something away. Check out the  story of stuff.

Wikipedia sums it up well: “petroleum’s worth as a portable, dense energy source powering the vast majority of vehicles and as the base of many industrial chemicals makes it one of the world’s most important commodities.” If we want to slow climate change, and eventually have a chance at reversing it, we must stop using fossil fuels like crude oil. It’s just that simple. But we’ll have to restrain ourselves a bit.

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The Next Big Green Thing: LED Lighting

Philips LED bulbs (Source: lighting.philips.com)

Philips LED bulbs (Source: lighting.philips.com)

Buckingham Palace is doing it and so are US cities like Ann Arbor and Raleigh. All these cities are installing LED lighting, that is. The New York Times article “Green Promise Seen in Switch to LED Lighting” and a blog post from the Times website discuss the potential benefits and some downfalls of LED lighting. Despite this article’s focus on both the pros and cons of LED lighting, it does not answer some of the most important questions regarding the sustainability of a transition to LED lighting. For instance, do LED lights require limited resources? What does a lifecycle assessment of a switch from incandescent and fluorescent lights to LEDs look like? Does the construction of new LED lightbulb plants and the disposal of millions of incandescent and fluorescent bulbs cancel out the CO2 benefits of the more efficient LED lighting? Kudos to Buckingham palace for only installing the new LED lights after the old lights had burned out.

A study cited in the article reports that if all lighting was provided by LEDs, CO2 emissions from electricity used for lighting could decrease by 50% in 20 years. Each bulb can last 100,000 hours compared to a fluorescent bulb that has a lifetime of about 3,000 hours. In addition they require about half the energy of a CFL, the lighting can be modulated, and they don’t emit UV light, which attracts insects. LEDs also do not contain mercury or any other toxic materials that have caused concern in consumers of CFLs. LEDs seem like a great way to decrease greenhouse gas emissions and save electricity without employing any futuristic technology. LEDs have been used for years in Christmas light strings and electronic score boards, among others.

Despite the numerous benefits of LED lighting, there are a few kinks to work out (not to mention a thorough study of the lifecycle impacts of a switch to LEDs). First off, LED bulbs are incredibly expensive at the moment; a new Philips LED bulb costs about $40. Though the purchaser will save considerably on electricity costs and replacement bulbs over the LED lights lifespan, the initial shock of purchasing a $40 lightbulb (when a CFL may cost only $2) will probably scare most would-be purchasers away. Another problem is that LED lighting is directional, meaning that most LED lights are only suitable for down-lighting or spot lighting applications. Currently, LEDs are grown on costly mediums such as sapphires. A new technology developed at Cambridge University allows LEDs to be grown on silicon wafers, which would be a much cheaper option. Laboratories at various universities are still working to develop more useable and cheaper LED lights.

In light of the many potential benefits, LED lighting could enjoy great success if the price is right.

Bottom line: LED lighting consumes less energy than traditional lighting sources and lasts much longer. Nonetheless they are costly and more R&D is needed to make them suitable for general purpose use and to ensure that they are truly an environmentally friendly alternative to incandescent lighting.

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The switch to digital television

I only made it about 3 paragraphs into this NYTimes article about the switch to digital television when I thought of a quick article to write for this blog.

Okay, so I hope you know the gist of this whole story. The US government decided to end analogue television signals on June 12, 2009 to free up bandwidth for use in other, more rapidly growing, wireless technologies like cellphones and internet. The bandwidth was sold to companies that wanted to use it and a few billion dollars were raised.

Broken Analogue Television TV

In theory this doesn’t affect me. I dont own a television and given the way the internet is headed, I’m not sure I’ll ever purchase one that’s not a computer screen for most of the time. The issue is that when the government made this decision they made a few billion but didn’t think of all the consequences.

Although you can “simply” get a government subsidized converter box and still use your old analogue TV, millions have used this change as a reason to buy a new television and upgrade their TV service. That’s great. But what about all those old, still working televisions? Is the government subsidizing the effort to recycle them? No? Well why not?

Apparently, the US government cares more about providing Americans with undisturbed television than about the environment.

Bottom Line: Please recycle your television or hold onto it until there’s an e-waste drive in your area. Please.

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How much oil do we use? (4/5)

Now that we’ve covered where oil comes from, what oil is chemically, and how we refine crude, it’s time to get to the heart of the oil hype – consumption.

The cool flow diagram below shows where the USA gets oil from and where we use it.

This petroleum flow diagram shows where we get oil from and where we use it. DOE

Click this petroleum flow diagram to see where the US gets and uses oil. DOE

From this diagram we can learn quite a bit about energy in the USA:

  • The total US consumption of petroleum products is 20.7 millions barrels/day (870 million gallons/day)
  • 60% of our total petroleum use is imported. That’s approximately one half billion gallons imported every day.
  • 69% of this total consumption is used for transportation. This includes a lot of things:
    • household driving (to the nearby park, work, grocery store, vacation, whatever)
    • trucking food, construction materials, laundry detergent, and basically everything we use every day around the country (also done on rail)
    • flying
  • About half of the total consumption is gasoline (which is mostly consumed by personal cars and small trucks)
  • Less than 25% of petroleum products are used in industrial processes (pharmaceuticals, plastics…etc and the energy to power these facilities)
  • Almost no electricity is produced from petroleum products
  • Assuming there are ~310 million people in the USA, 2.8 gallons/day of oil use can be attributed to the average American (the energy contained in 25 pounds of coal or 407 bars of candy)*. That’s a lot of energy.

Those are just FACTS. Go look them up if you think I’m making this stuff up. The US Department of Energy (DOE) and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) both offer two unbiased scientific perspectives on US and global energy use. See the blog roll to the right for links.

So where does the US get all this oil from?

The top three oil producing countries in the world in order (2007) are Russia, Saudi Arabia, and the United States. Iran, China, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Venezuela, Nigeria, and Iraq are all top producers too. The USA isn’t exactly on the best terms with the world’s top oil producers.

On the consumption side, the USA nearly triples the next biggest user, China. China has 4.3 times as many people we use and uses 1/3 the oil. Americans use nearly 13 times more oil per capita than the Chinese. Again, just facts.

So why does the USA use so much oil?

This is a more complex question. The short answer is that oil has traditionally been inexpensive, very energy dense, and easy to transport, store, and use. Since it was so easy, it caught on.

We built infrastructures that were supported by cheap oil. We have certain expectations as a result: fresh, out-of-season fruit at the grocery stores year round, the ability to live in suburbs and work in cities, the once-a-year convenience of having a sports utility vehicle or truck.

Bottom Line: The USA uses a lot of oil – mostly to move us and our things around our big country. Why? Because oil is easy and powerful…or at least it was.

Further Reading: Department of Energy’s Annual Energy Review

* I calculated the candy and coal numbers from energy densities provided here.

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The Psychology of Climate Change

“Let’s start with the fact that climate change is anthropogenic. More or less, people have agreed on that. That means it’s caused by human behavior. That’s not to say that engineering solutions aren’t important. But if it’s caused by human behavior, then the solution probably also lies in changing human behavior.” Elke Weber

How humans make decisions may greatly affect the outcomes of climate change. Stephen Wilkes for NYTimes

How humans make decisions may greatly affect the outcomes of climate change. Stephen Wilkes for NYTimes

An informative NYTimes article discusses the impact of social science and psychology on climate change.

Sheepherders have little incentive to act alone to preserve the grassy commons and as a result suffer collectively from overgrazing.

This is the same situation the world and American public are in. We are all noble sheepherders, seeking to maintain and grow our prosperity. Sometimes in pursuing our individual needs and desires, we hurt the group, which then hurts us all.

“I had worked on some national studies about American perceptions of climate change, and one of the clear findings was — and still is — that most Americans think about climate change as a distant problem. Distant in time, and distant in space.” -Anthony Leiserowitz

Decision making is a debate between two internal human voices: our analytical side and out emotional side. Surprisingly, our analytical side may be hurting the fight against climate change.

The doubt-sowing remarks of climate-change skeptics, the poor communications skills of good scientists, the political system’s inability to address long-term challenges without a thunderous precipitating event, the tendency of science journalism to focus more on what is unknown (will oceans rise by two feet or by five?)

These things are major hurdles to the American public and the world addressing climate change and energy issues. If we wait to address these problems until there is a “Pearl Harbor moment” (or what I might call a “9-11 moment”), then we may be too late to change the outcome.

One system works analytically, often involving a careful consideration of costs and benefits. The other experiences risk as a feeling: a primitive and urgent reaction to danger, usually based on a personal experience, that can prove invaluable when (for example) we wake at night to the smell of smoke.

The problem with the analytical side of human decision making is that we’re not always good at the “careful consideration of costs and benefits” – especially if the decision has long term implications. Those that have a firm grasp on climate change and our impending energy problems need to next grasp “the complexity of instilling feelings of climate-related urgency” in their fellow world citizens before we suffer through another Pearl Harbor moment.

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